Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.424383 3.999845 4.611601 5.307232 6.073163 6.887743 7.816481
2024-10-27 2.508712 3.282204 4.166702 5.239534 6.492145 7.895522 9.573505
2024-11-03 1.979356 2.877255 3.973572 5.378401 7.098512 9.105204 11.591483
2024-11-10 1.574847 2.536221 3.784868 5.465761 7.609936 10.196954 13.495749
2024-11-17 1.202555 2.159478 3.483979 5.355460 7.837033 10.924969 14.965050
2024-11-24 0.911843 1.834665 3.196690 5.213123 7.984891 11.531419 16.278041
2024-12-01 0.715563 1.609179 3.010641 5.174860 8.244905 12.267560 17.754585
2024-12-08 0.555033 1.404497 2.822140 5.103851 8.438964 12.906595 19.107228
2024-12-15 0.484946 1.344514 2.847422 5.339774 9.060380 14.121095 21.228374
2024-12-22 0.393664 1.221192 2.750665 5.375927 9.389054 14.940751 22.839064
2024-12-29 0.354446 1.195768 2.814539 5.661068 10.084033 16.273246 25.155275
2025-01-05 0.313049 1.155204 2.844806 5.889580 10.698135 17.503315 27.352409
2025-01-12 0.259124 1.073201 2.793891 5.987988 11.130719 18.505835 29.285427
2025-01-19 0.196557 0.947604 2.643029 5.905835 11.281292 19.110734 30.685859
2025-01-26 0.164631 0.895024 2.628118 6.052641 11.788183 20.234233 32.821212
2025-02-02 0.134018 0.833837 2.586113 6.145494 12.208591 21.237007 34.800713
2025-02-09 0.096395 0.728817 2.433453 6.024777 12.277656 21.722043 36.056047
2025-02-16 0.065968 0.627987 2.271305 5.869710 12.278067 22.098256 37.156291
2025-02-23 0.047158 0.560390 2.174447 5.827915 12.458865 22.742461 38.644219
2025-03-02 0.031856 0.493153 2.065153 5.750632 12.572474 23.282463 39.985479
2025-03-09 0.027778 0.489316 2.121072 6.006905 13.261796 24.712318 42.636068
2025-03-16 0.019943 0.449710 2.073010 6.046136 13.575348 25.567733 44.458031
2025-03-23 0.018100 0.455345 2.153164 6.355505 14.367157 27.174746 47.399845